Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 1.753883 2.020994 2.314784 2.661863 3.060715 3.504759 4.036740
2025-05-11 1.389618 1.741592 2.161681 2.699946 3.371491 4.182038 5.235442
2025-05-18 1.094615 1.474790 1.961579 2.630448 3.526023 4.684630 6.299393
2025-05-25 0.863614 1.240168 1.753110 2.502656 3.570633 5.039177 7.215665
2025-06-01 0.728929 1.108166 1.654140 2.497059 3.766638 5.610033 8.496113
2025-06-08 0.613697 0.982475 1.540678 2.446513 3.881195 6.069465 9.669847
2025-06-15 0.564471 0.947334 1.553970 2.584203 4.292452 7.017573 11.708756
2025-06-22 0.507546 0.889858 1.521814 2.641205 4.577717 7.797887 13.578160
2025-06-29 0.447181 0.816719 1.452199 2.623000 4.730291 8.372828 15.171674
2025-07-06 0.380542 0.722314 1.332366 2.498786 4.678022 8.584846 16.150202
2025-07-13 0.356057 0.700749 1.337930 2.599397 5.040233 9.568357 18.644711
2025-07-20 0.338204 0.688883 1.359025 2.730333 5.473356 10.729888 21.616795
2025-07-27 0.312636 0.659605 1.345577 2.797570 5.802402 11.754845 24.502539
2025-08-03 0.285790 0.623940 1.314922 2.826388 6.059277 12.673079 27.304818
2025-08-10 0.252125 0.569019 1.237654 2.747635 6.082443 13.121112 29.191083
2025-08-17 0.218161 0.508400 1.140025 2.611017 5.961631 13.249808 30.402616
2025-08-24 0.198788 0.477754 1.103166 2.603438 6.123722 14.005660 33.105228
2025-08-31 0.178393 0.441761 1.049486 2.549806 6.173065 14.516316 35.314093
2025-09-07 0.173239 0.441491 1.077848 2.692731 6.701835 16.185057 40.474464
2025-09-14 0.163136 0.427551 1.071960 2.751805 7.035962 17.438756 44.797207
2025-09-21 0.149562 0.402850 1.036624 2.732671 7.173343 18.235430 48.088223
2025-09-28 0.131736 0.364490 0.962134 2.603196 7.012079 18.273707 49.443544
2025-10-05 0.127103 0.360857 0.976149 2.707940 7.477089 19.955406 55.341227